tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post5975608166209880813..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: The Census Bureau on Global AgingUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-42315435849252086082009-07-27T09:11:21.379+00:002009-07-27T09:11:21.379+00:00The only inland regions in the world that are econ...The only inland regions in the world that are economic powers are or capital cities of a much larger states or have waterways to transport goods, neither is true for the Sahel so i don't see it<br /><br /><br />I see you just meant Senegal. I think you are right.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-13724483480660931362009-07-26T23:13:33.237+00:002009-07-26T23:13:33.237+00:00@ Aslak:
I see your point, but Africa's not a...@ Aslak:<br /><br />I see your point, but Africa's not a whole. Nyerere's economic policies in Tanzania may have been catastrophic, but his determined anti-tribalist policies and promotion of Swahili as a common national language has helped give Tanzania a strong national identity that neighbouring Kenya lacks. At the other end of the spectrum is the Democratic Republic of Congo.<br /><brRandy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-12236857535361928772009-07-26T12:42:35.645+00:002009-07-26T12:42:35.645+00:00Problem with Africa is that it was underpopulated....Problem with Africa is that it was underpopulated. That is being solved so expect high growth rates.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-6221247841983182652009-07-26T09:22:38.446+00:002009-07-26T09:22:38.446+00:00I'll admit to being pessimistic about the futu...I'll admit to being pessimistic about the future of Subsaharan Africa -not because there's something inherently wrong with Africans, but simply because African countries, with a few exception have so far to go with regards to institution building, the rule of law etc. I don't think comparisons with Asia is useful because Asia has had milennias of state formation -they lagged behind Aslakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05813371594062969329noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-81338692299620811282009-07-26T05:51:01.252+00:002009-07-26T05:51:01.252+00:00I don't see any reason why, with sufficiently ...I don't see any reason why, with sufficiently stable institutions, sub-Saharan Africa couldn't become a prosperous region. What's going on is the standard process of state construction in very unstable environments just emerging from colonialism--China in the 1930s and 1940s was in a similar state, and just look at it now.<br /><br />As for the human gene pool, it's more likely Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-59424298100418191622009-07-26T03:25:23.703+00:002009-07-26T03:25:23.703+00:00so what i see is that subsaharan africa will be th...so what i see is that subsaharan africa will be the people exporter of last resort - their own countries may well continue to be poor candidates for investment, but the human material is there, and will be wanted/needed for cheap labor all over the world (east asia _will_ import labor eventually, when they need to bad enough). (unless the robots do all the work then).<br /><br />and then - who Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-7904325237542053722009-07-25T16:52:37.836+00:002009-07-25T16:52:37.836+00:00Africa's filled with Africans by definition. I...Africa's filled with Africans by definition. It'd be odd if it was filled with Asians, or Polynesians, or Alpha Centaurans.Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-65455740277792388862009-07-25T15:06:18.157+00:002009-07-25T15:06:18.157+00:00Anonymous,
Except that Africa is filled with Afri...Anonymous,<br /><br />Except that Africa is filled with Africans.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-71945678057335184262009-07-25T12:36:54.895+00:002009-07-25T12:36:54.895+00:0060 years ago Korea was sacked and Taiwan was much ...60 years ago Korea was sacked and Taiwan was much either. Look at them now so i don't see why Sub Sahara Africa can't be booming in 60 years.<br />By then Nigeria, a very large and industrious country, will have lost the oil plague and will be in a grow phase that will modern day China to shame.<br /><br />Or what also could happen is that India & China imports all the women so there Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-16499796488273218522009-07-24T19:10:57.497+00:002009-07-24T19:10:57.497+00:00I wonder what will happen with China's TFR. C...I wonder what will happen with China's TFR. Could it drop as low as South Korea's TFR or possibly lower? <br /><br />Should the Chinese TFR go lower than it already is there could be incredible consequences. This often seems ignored in analysis of China.<br /><br />I also wonder to what level India's TFR will drop. India is substantially closer to a "socially and economicallyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-91176327516543455212009-07-24T14:21:40.328+00:002009-07-24T14:21:40.328+00:00Probably there will be an extended period of stagn...Probably there will be an extended period of stagnation, as countries which have successfully adapted take over from those which haven't. <i>Au 22ième siècle nous parlerons tous le français?</i>Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-35359031223869963192009-07-24T11:06:09.057+00:002009-07-24T11:06:09.057+00:00I somehow don't see Subsaharan Africa as the w...I somehow don't see Subsaharan Africa as the world's importer of last resort. I guess I have almost as much faith in the spacemen or the tube-people. <br /><br />More seriously, we really are going into uncharted territory here. Clearly, something will have to give.Aslakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05813371594062969329noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-81823143347664409802009-07-24T07:28:48.756+00:002009-07-24T07:28:48.756+00:00Sub-Saharan nations? Then the spacemen from beyond...Sub-Saharan nations? Then the spacemen from beyond the moon I suppose. But by 2070 we will have kids born in tubes and parented by virtual reality programs. Sure they will be a little messed up - being raised by Laura Croft will do that - but when they hatch into the real world they will probably want to compensate for their mental issues by buying more stuff than they need. Either that or go on Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com