tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post4134902007741188191..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: Why Japan Isn't RisingUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-72438424160084962272009-07-20T15:30:04.937+00:002009-07-20T15:30:04.937+00:00Wolfgang: the decline of Japans population isn'...Wolfgang: the decline of Japans population isn't so severe now because of population momentum. Most of Japan's population is still in the 50-60 range. In the next 20 years the death rate will increase along with the ageing of the population, simply because there are more older people. The birth rate will sink, because the share of women in the 15-45 range will decrease. <br /><br />You Ciceronenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-66273078924602588552009-07-20T05:47:56.622+00:002009-07-20T05:47:56.622+00:00The thing is Wolfgang, the economic consequences o...The thing is Wolfgang, the economic consequences of even "such a small fall" are now abundantly evident in the current crisis. (Actually it is the shift in age structures that matters). So what, if anything, do you think we should be doing about this part, granted that you feel that Japan's population may be stationary, but much, much older by the time we reach 2050.<br /><br /><br Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-37622349517694389352009-07-20T00:13:19.407+00:002009-07-20T00:13:19.407+00:00page 17 of this http://www.stat.go.jp/english/data...page 17 of this http://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/kokusei/2005/poj/pdf/2005ch02.pdf shows what is happening in Japan. They lost 10% of the population of those under 65 between 1985 and 2005Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-85487089820225254812009-07-19T22:23:42.177+00:002009-07-19T22:23:42.177+00:00"Japan's population peaked in 2004 at abo..."Japan's population peaked in 2004 at about 127.8 million and is projected to fall to 89.9 million by 2055. "<br /><br />The newest numbers from www.stat.go.jp: <br /><br /> 2000 126.93 <br /> 2001 127.32 <br /> 2002 127.49 <br /> 2003 127.69 <br /> 2004 127.79 <br /> 2005 127.77 <br /> 2006 127.77 <br /> 2007 127.77 <br /> 2008 127.69 <br /> 2009 127.60Wolfganghttp://members.lol.li/twostone/demography/critical_analysis.htmlnoreply@blogger.com