tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post2880879117769678672..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: Evolution of Fertility in the OECD 1970-2004Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-53341263923054902152007-05-09T01:37:00.000+00:002007-05-09T01:37:00.000+00:00The emigration from Poland and the other Eastern c...The emigration from Poland and the other Eastern countries may be bad for those countries.<BR/><BR/>But it isn't bad for the recipient countries, which get human material of splendid quality and which can be easily assimilated, and who put off the evil day of rising dependency ratios.<BR/><BR/>Something like 3-4% of the Irish population is now East European -- that's demographically significant S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-44603944584757789592007-05-07T18:41:00.000+00:002007-05-07T18:41:00.000+00:00"the UK only keeps statistics on "immigrants", and..."the UK only keeps statistics on "immigrants", and the majority of the descendents of "New Commonwealth" immigrants are not themselves immigrants but British born, so they are not reflected in the numbers."<BR/><BR/>-- there are reliable estimates available; the total number is a between 2.5-3 million, if I recall correctly.S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-65967508885683082582007-05-07T08:28:00.000+00:002007-05-07T08:28:00.000+00:00Hi Sterling,and welcome back again. "For example, ...Hi Sterling,<BR/><BR/>and welcome back again. <BR/><BR/>"For example, Poland has apparently "lost" something like 1,000,000 people through migration to Western Europe in the past 4 years, almost all of them in the 18-40 range and fairly evenly split by gender."<BR/><BR/>I agree that the out-migration patterns from some Eastern and Central European countries against a background of already very Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-58331140485350564372007-05-06T07:03:00.000+00:002007-05-06T07:03:00.000+00:00With respect to Canada, you get a figure closer to...With respect to Canada, you get a figure closer to the other English-speaking countries if you subtract Quebec.<BR/><BR/>In fact, Canada becomes a lot more like the (northern) US with Quebec out of the equation.S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-92001265552748784382007-05-06T07:02:00.000+00:002007-05-06T07:02:00.000+00:00Some very recent developments may be important.For...Some very recent developments may be important.<BR/><BR/>For example, Poland has apparently "lost" something like 1,000,000 people through migration to Western Europe in the past 4 years, almost all of them in the 18-40 range and fairly evenly split by gender. The figure is imprecise because it's hard to detect returnees and multiple 'emigrations' by individuals, but it has to be something in S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-5750020372547278082007-05-06T06:58:00.000+00:002007-05-06T06:58:00.000+00:00I suspect the national aggregates are often mislea...I suspect the national aggregates are often misleading. For a country of substantial size, breaking it down internally -- by income, ethnic group, region, etc. -- may be important.S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-27509903883098705032007-04-26T23:17:00.000+00:002007-04-26T23:17:00.000+00:00It is not so much that they were the aggressors as...It is not so much that they were the aggressors as the vanquished.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-74607873321700925432007-04-23T21:39:00.000+00:002007-04-23T21:39:00.000+00:00Good point ... Will make sure to do that for the f...Good point ... <BR/><BR/>Will make sure to do that for the future!CVhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843402165210120665noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-58583030124108882412007-04-23T19:16:00.000+00:002007-04-23T19:16:00.000+00:00Please in the future, make all the axes of the gra...Please in the future, make all the axes of the graph the same for easy comparison. Right now, the y axis keeps varying and it makes it harder to compare things.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-25515009707819145592007-04-21T11:17:00.000+00:002007-04-21T11:17:00.000+00:00interesting stuff this ... I don't know what to in...interesting stuff this ... <BR/><BR/>I don't know what to in terms of AVI' s argument as I simply don't know anything about this potential feedback loop with a decrease in fertility. <BR/><BR/>I am of course thinking about how to potentially operationalize this for research purposes. <BR/><BR/>Regarding Scott's comments I think they are true since the drop in Japanese fertility indeed is said to CVhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843402165210120665noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-90272193183493605882007-04-20T23:16:00.000+00:002007-04-20T23:16:00.000+00:00Assistant village idiot, you raise a very interest...Assistant village idiot, you raise a very interesting point. However, having lived in Japan for two years, and studied the country intensely during my undergraduate studies, I can categorically say that guilt over WW II has nothing to do with the changes in Japanese families' attitudes towards having children. The decline in recent years in the Japanese fertility rate has to do among other thingsScotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12392288826388903607noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-30576582993158713742007-04-19T02:22:00.000+00:002007-04-19T02:22:00.000+00:00Months ago I noted over at neo-neocon that the agg...Months ago I noted over at neo-neocon that the aggressor nations of WWII seemed to have a lower birthrate than the victim and neutral nations, and that the Cold War aggressors were showing the same pattern. That seems to still be the case.<BR/><BR/>Admittedly, in some cases it is hard to make a sharp distinction between aggressor/victim/neutral.<BR/><BR/>It does lead to speculation that Assistant Village Idiothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01978011985085795099noreply@blogger.com