tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post2179924977897467482..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: Poland, Is The Party Over?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-37961142172255231732007-06-06T14:52:00.000+00:002007-06-06T14:52:00.000+00:00Hi Colin"How important are remittances becoming to...Hi Colin<BR/><BR/>"How important are remittances becoming to the Polish economy?" <BR/><BR/>Hard to say since we seem to lack really reliable statistics. According <A HREF="http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS/Resources/4aMichalik.ppt" REL="nofollow">to this power point presentation on Polish remittances</A> I found they were roughly 2,000 million US dollars in 2003, a figure which Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-48088464339246027252007-06-06T10:02:00.000+00:002007-06-06T10:02:00.000+00:00How important are remittances becoming to the Poli...How important are remittances becoming to the Polish economy? Those may partly compensate for the loss of workers to Western Europe, but then again, remittances may stifle the desire to work of those who stay behind.<BR/><BR/>On the plus side, perhaps all this intra-European migration, and the fact that the migrants are also coming from 'Old Europe' countries such as Germany and Italy, will Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-88630925159131049932007-06-06T01:28:00.000+00:002007-06-06T01:28:00.000+00:00The most likely source of migrants for Poland can ...The most likely source of migrants for Poland can be found in the countries which lying to Poland's east which, in many ways, once were Poland's traditional hinterland. Ukraine is the chief candidate, but immigration from elsewhere in the former Soviet Union--perhaps, considering the Vietnamese diaspora, even further--seems fairly likely.Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-65707314153277360752007-06-06T01:10:00.000+00:002007-06-06T01:10:00.000+00:00I recently read an article about Poland wanting to...I recently read an article about Poland wanting to recruit people from India and China. The Phillippines could be another good option given that it's catholic too. And Ukraine and Belarus of course. If they let in, say equal to 0,3% of the Polish population from these countries each year, it would by and large solve alot of the demographic troubles.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-31817831611316349312007-06-05T15:06:00.000+00:002007-06-05T15:06:00.000+00:00Or put another way Rich, do you have a better idea...<I>Or put another way Rich, do you have a better idea of how they can climb out of the hole? I would be interested to hear it if you do.</I><BR/><BR/>Not necessarily a better solution, more pointing out that some institutions have stock answers (like the "tax wedge") that they will trot out to solve problems, whether they are relevant or not.<BR/><BR/>I agree that immigration should be a large Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-40790440725535758142007-06-04T17:48:00.000+00:002007-06-04T17:48:00.000+00:00One other general point does occur to me here, and...One other general point does occur to me here, and that is that, given the extraordinary rates of growth we are seeing in the global economy, knowledge economy workers and the like are going to be in increasingly short supply over the next decade or so. <BR/><BR/>India is already experiencing bottlenecks in this regard, and in another forum I participate in people are drawing attention to the Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-32586567229459198422007-06-04T17:29:00.000+00:002007-06-04T17:29:00.000+00:00Hi will,"Why not let Ukrainians in?"Well yes, I th...Hi will,<BR/><BR/>"Why not let Ukrainians in?"<BR/><BR/>Well yes, I think this, and things like it are going to be one part of the solution. Unfortunately though this is not a zero sum game, since it simply pushes the underlying problem one step further East, although, yes, I agree, it would help ease the situation in Poland.<BR/><BR/>Interesting to think about what this would do to consumption Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-68314475050275824822007-06-04T17:19:00.000+00:002007-06-04T17:19:00.000+00:00Why not let Ukrainians in? There are a lot of tec...Why not let Ukrainians in? There are a lot of technically trained and competent people just across the border looking for jobs - or specifically steady wages - in a big way.Will Bairdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07562404098136557872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-85315803410679148402007-06-04T16:35:00.000+00:002007-06-04T16:35:00.000+00:00Or put another way Rich, do you have a better idea...Or put another way Rich, do you have a better idea of how they can climb out of the hole? I would be interested to hear it if you do.Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-23389072332457419342007-06-04T16:18:00.000+00:002007-06-04T16:18:00.000+00:00Hi,"and the Bloomberg "solution" -- cutting labor ...Hi,<BR/><BR/>"and the Bloomberg "solution" -- cutting labor costs."<BR/><BR/>Well, I agree that no-one is suddenly going to quintuple salaries, and stemming the outflow of workers is going to be hard for them. There isn't much they can do about the ones that have already left, but if they could improve labour market conditions they might be able to avoid some of those other three million Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-9966930344788485682007-06-04T15:20:00.000+00:002007-06-04T15:20:00.000+00:00There seems to be a disconnect between the Financi...There seems to be a disconnect between the Financial Times "problem" -- 1 million Poles going West to find jobs that pay four or five times more -- and the Bloomberg "solution" -- cutting labor costs.<BR/><BR/>Cutting labor costs is a way to deal with high unemployment, not labor shortages. It may help give jobs to those left behind, but won't stop those leaving from venturing out. <BR/><BR/>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com