tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post115061490395586856..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: The demise of Russia's far eastUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1152505548745398472006-07-10T04:25:00.000+00:002006-07-10T04:25:00.000+00:00I think that it's quite paranoid. Even Chuchotka a...I think that it's quite paranoid. Even Chuchotka and Yakutia, assuming they manage to prosper from natural resources, are going to rely so heavily as guest workers/immigrants from the rest of Russia as to undercut the advantages of their material bases.Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1151236365070374082006-06-25T11:52:00.000+00:002006-06-25T11:52:00.000+00:00Randy:It is true that much of North Asia must depe...Randy:<BR/><BR/>It is true that much of North Asia must depend on federal subsidy to maintain infrastructre, and is therefore at somewhat of a disadvantage should it agitate for increased autonomy. (The exception is places like Chukotka, where there are undeveloped energy resources that, if developed, could make the area a net contributor to the federal budget.)<BR/><BR/>But if we accept that Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1151154491122713242006-06-24T13:08:00.000+00:002006-06-24T13:08:00.000+00:00This has apparently happened in Chuchotka, but I d...This has apparently happened in Chuchotka, but I don't know of any other jurisdictions of the Russian Federation's far north where this has. In any case, the far north lacks the economic infrastructure needed to sustain autonomous communities; federal transfers are essential.Randy McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04707497864911987241noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150717248100980882006-06-19T11:40:00.000+00:002006-06-19T11:40:00.000+00:00An interesting question is not just how many are l...An interesting question is not just how many are leaving, but who is leaving. Are these out-migrations the kind that will make indigenous North Asian peoples once again the majorities in their thinly populated homelands, and if so, is there any reason for the Kremlin to be nervous?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150710667438750802006-06-19T09:51:00.000+00:002006-06-19T09:51:00.000+00:00"Somebody, though, is bound to stay put"Well, a bi..."Somebody, though, is bound to stay put"<BR/><BR/>Well, a bit more than somebody, since, as Fiona Hill points out, the resource rich region is what drives growth in Russian GDP. This is a real headache for them. The 'extraction conditions' are far from optimal.Adminhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07431230172942198078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150699804549528622006-06-19T06:50:00.000+00:002006-06-19T06:50:00.000+00:00'There's really no need, under modern conditions, ...'There's really no need, under modern conditions, to have huge populations to extract resources.'<BR/><BR/>Hmm, I can see this point and perhaps the Russian territory is just too big and too remote (in some places) to merit any active policies to amend this issue. Somebody, though, is bound to stay put - simply because they do not have the possibility to leave. <BR/><BR/>'The Soviet government CVhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843402165210120665noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150696286117018172006-06-19T05:51:00.000+00:002006-06-19T05:51:00.000+00:00On the geo-political implications of what is happe...On the geo-political implications of what is happening in Russia Fiona Hill is also interesting. Her piece in this:<BR/>http://www.iss-eu.org/books/transat06.pdf<BR/><BR/>is a useful read for anyone interested. Be careful though, since it is a huge, book length, file and her bit is to be found around P171.Adminhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07431230172942198078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150695739555391742006-06-19T05:42:00.000+00:002006-06-19T05:42:00.000+00:00"The Soviet government encouraged people to live i..."The Soviet government encouraged people to live in areas which, if they were in Canada (or Sweden) they would shun."<BR/><BR/>I think Stirling has hit the nail sharply on the head here :).<BR/><BR/>This paper from Fiona Hill,at Brookings, Siberia: Russia's Economic Heartland and Daunting Dilemma, outlines the problem pretty well.<BR/><BR/> http://www.brookings.edu/views/articles/hillf/20041013.Adminhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07431230172942198078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150694015856840702006-06-19T05:13:00.000+00:002006-06-19T05:13:00.000+00:00What's more, the countries adjacent to eastern Rus...What's more, the countries adjacent to eastern Russia -- China, Mongolia, Korea, Japan -- also have low fertility rates and are rapidly urbanizing.<BR/><BR/>Russia doesn't have to worry about hordes of prolific Chinese peasants eager to stake out homesteads in Siberia.<BR/><BR/>They're going to Shanghai and not reproducing, instead.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1150693906436733692006-06-19T05:11:00.000+00:002006-06-19T05:11:00.000+00:00The Soviet government encouraged people to live in...The Soviet government encouraged people to live in areas which, if they were in Canada (or Sweden) they would shun.<BR/><BR/>There's really no need, under modern conditions, to have huge populations to extract resources.<BR/><BR/>It makes more sense to let people concentrate in areas they find more agreeable, and do the resource extraction with machinery and a few well-paid specialists.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com