tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post8286867359427361890..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: Some Reflections on US Demographic DataUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger48125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-65476847132009905152013-12-11T12:41:03.775+00:002013-12-11T12:41:03.775+00:00A lot of people in our industry haven't had ve...A lot of people in our industry haven't had very diverse experiences. So they don't have enough dots to connect, and they end up with very linear solutions without a broad perspective on the problem. The broader one's understanding of the human experience, the better design we will have.<br /><a href="http://www.timenspacemedia.com/media.php/" rel="nofollow">Advertising agencies in Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18138855304289351967noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-24229334148487694852011-07-27T22:35:59.207+00:002011-07-27T22:35:59.207+00:00the doctors usually serve the humanity so the doct...the doctors usually serve the humanity so the doctors try their level best to prevent the patient from the disease.<br />some time it happened that the doctors suggest something but it does not work well.<br />any how this blog is very informative. now the tubal reversal is a process that is in my mind that every person must collect the info about the tubal reversal because the tubal reversal tubal reversal surgeryhttp://www.mybabydoc.com/tubal-reversal-surgery.htmlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-65328223254104811652011-07-27T22:35:42.121+00:002011-07-27T22:35:42.121+00:00the doctors usually serve the humanity so the doct...the doctors usually serve the humanity so the doctors try their level best to prevent the patient from the disease.<br />some time it happened that the doctors suggest something but it does not work well.<br />any how this blog is very informative. now the tubal reversal is a process that is in my mind that every person must collect the info about the tubal reversal because the tubal reversal tubal reversal surgeryhttp://www.mybabydoc.com/tubal-reversal-surgery.htmlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-35429214107876548362011-05-20T11:24:49.897+00:002011-05-20T11:24:49.897+00:00Excellent post for economical marketing and home b...Excellent post for economical marketing and home buyers.All should be followed it.<br />thanks lot any way for sharing post.4d ultrasoundshttp://www.angelprintsultrasound.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-4323553937958475902009-08-26T08:25:43.776+00:002009-08-26T08:25:43.776+00:00This does not surprise me with the laws. I know of...This does not surprise me with the laws. I know of a state where a couple wanted to have IVF treatments to have a child due to a previous tubal ligation and the physicians would not do it because the couple was not married. Which the woman ended up having tubal reversal surgery performed at mubabydoc Tubal Reversal Center which was outside of the couples home state. Not only was it cheaper but tubal reversalhttp://www.mybabydoc.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-20471892736726976402008-01-08T07:17:00.000+00:002008-01-08T07:17:00.000+00:00Hi again Robert,"Kahneman hypothesizes that happin...Hi again Robert,<BR/><BR/>"Kahneman hypothesizes that happiness (the possible application to longevity is purely my own speculation) is linked to the variety of activity possible during an average day."<BR/><BR/>Yep, well I find this idea very plausible. It is something I have even worked on in my own life. As must be obvious my "hobby" (and one kind of social life) involves me sitting many hoursEdward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-9353332827523933592008-01-08T01:09:00.000+00:002008-01-08T01:09:00.000+00:00Happy New Year to you, too, Edward. If the post o...Happy New Year to you, too, Edward. <BR/><BR/>If the post on longevity and work expenditure interests you, you might find an article by David Kahneman that appeared on Marginal Revolution a few days ago interesting. While "worked into an early grave" is a valid category, it is also true that unemployment is bad for longevity. Kahneman hypothesizes that happiness (the possible application to Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17036579889841394629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-1959406464232973782008-01-07T06:35:00.000+00:002008-01-07T06:35:00.000+00:00Hi Robert, and Happy New Year."In the West, the yo...Hi Robert, and Happy New Year.<BR/><BR/>"In the West, the younger generation is still better educated than their parents, but the rate of improvement in education standards has been slower and the population pyramid underestimates the productive power of the youth to a lesser extent."<BR/><BR/>I am sure this is true, and is one of the reasons why some emerging economies may now get very rapid TFPEdward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-10778378678158508962008-01-07T03:43:00.000+00:002008-01-07T03:43:00.000+00:00One difference between weak demography in Europe a...One difference between weak demography in Europe and weak demography in rapidly developing countries is that in the rapidly developing countries, the post-boom generation may be fewer in number than their parents, but also carries substantially more human capital per person. The potential productive power of the younger generation is underestimated by looking at population pyramids.<BR/><BR/>In Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17036579889841394629noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-69184995497181933732007-12-28T00:57:00.000+00:002007-12-28T00:57:00.000+00:00Presumably the rapid increase in intermarriages du...<I>Presumably the rapid increase in intermarriages during the 90's has been continued since 2000 and this is now a factor which is significant demographically on a national scale.</I><BR/><BR/>The rapid increase in intermarriages during the 90's was only found among whites and blacks. The rate at which Hispanics and Asians married whites actually declined between 1990 - 2000.<BR/><BR/><I>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-23835057974027878052007-12-25T15:37:00.000+00:002007-12-25T15:37:00.000+00:00When dealing with immigration and the US, it's imp...<I>When dealing with immigration and the US, it's important to keep in mind that ethnic boundaries here tend to be much more fluid than in Europe.<BR/>Or to put it another way, the US had -- and has -- a long tradition of assimilating immigrants, and from the evidence this is proceding, if anything, more rapidly now than in past generations</I><BR/><BR/>Yet America also has the ludicrous "one Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-36668504356718145662007-12-24T01:36:00.000+00:002007-12-24T01:36:00.000+00:00The US has been adding about 100 million populatio...The US has been adding about 100 million population every 35 years. No reason to believe this won't continue, so that by 2100 the American population will approach 600 million. If that is the case, the American and Chinese populations may be more or less the same. China will most likely resemble today's Japan by that time: wealthy, aged, and unthreatening. <BR/><BR/>The only other conceivableAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-9584500862013438242007-12-23T03:04:00.000+00:002007-12-23T03:04:00.000+00:00Someone once said that England is to America as Ju...Someone once said that England is to America as Judaism is to Christianity, which is both pithy and accurate.<BR/><BR/>To illustrate, in 2006 the US Centcom commander was an Arab-American and the general commanding ground forces in Iraq was the illegitimate son of a Mexican immigrant woman who cleaned houses for a living.<BR/><BR/>Simply contemplating the thought of a British general whose S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-7793262012318535602007-12-23T03:01:00.000+00:002007-12-23T03:01:00.000+00:00As far as the UK goes, the Conservatives generally...As far as the UK goes, the Conservatives generally get a majority of the popular vote in England -- they did at the last election, for example.<BR/><BR/>This is a pattern that goes well back into the 19th century, when the Liberals often formed governments based on minorities in England and very large majorities in Scotland, Wales and (in those days) Ireland.<BR/><BR/>Conversely, Tory governmentsS.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-70334953244368147382007-12-22T13:49:00.000+00:002007-12-22T13:49:00.000+00:00"When dealing with immigration and the US, it's im..."When dealing with immigration and the US, it's important to keep in mind that ethnic boundaries here tend to be much more fluid than in Europe."<BR/><BR/>Basically Sterling I entirely agree with you. I only think that perhaps here the British/English distiction is not the most representative example, since it is probably the most fluid "half way house" we have here in Europe. Arguably your Sikh Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-22793643361426531232007-12-22T05:14:00.000+00:002007-12-22T05:14:00.000+00:00When dealing with immigration and the US, it's imp...When dealing with immigration and the US, it's important to keep in mind that ethnic boundaries here tend to be much more fluid than in Europe.<BR/><BR/>Or to put it another way, the US had -- and has -- a long tradition of assimilating immigrants, and from the evidence this is proceding, if anything, more rapidly now than in past generations.(*) <BR/><BR/>It's fairly hard for a Sikh to become S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-7414895043265903922007-12-22T04:28:00.000+00:002007-12-22T04:28:00.000+00:00I'd like to see more detailed breakdowns of that U...I'd like to see more detailed breakdowns of that US data on a number of fronts.<BR/><BR/>For example, already by 2000 7%-9% of children in some states -- including large ones like California -- were born to couples where one partner was Hispanic and one non-Hispanic.<BR/><BR/>Presumably the rapid increase in intermarriages during the 90's has been continued since 2000 and this is now a factor S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-23528775536925437162007-12-21T08:25:00.000+00:002007-12-21T08:25:00.000+00:00"The "increasing" is the crucial word to keep in m..."The "increasing" is the crucial word to keep in mind here."<BR/><BR/>Oh good, we are on the same wavelength again. I entirely agree, it isn't the actual volume but the development trend that matters. The contrast with China couldn't be more clear. China has just peaked (this year) in the 15 to 19 age group, at 125 million. From now on it is a forced march downwards, with the number dropping Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-6754021110015640292007-12-21T08:07:00.000+00:002007-12-21T08:07:00.000+00:00"Furthermore, there's no reason whatsoever to beli..."Furthermore, there's no reason whatsoever to believe this trend is going to _stop_."<BR/><BR/>Strange as it may seem Sterling, I don't really disagree. I mean, what I am really trying to say in the last comment is that I think people's expectations and awareness are now a big part of this story, so I would draw a sort of line in the sand between those societies which will be capable of reactingEdward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-47159778151775098492007-12-21T07:47:00.000+00:002007-12-21T07:47:00.000+00:00"Note that the US has very little in the way of 'f..."Note that the US has very little in the way of 'family-friendly' government measures, far less than, say, Italy."<BR/><BR/>Agreed. But look. A couple of points. US fertility is what it is more by accident than by design, while French and Swedish fertility are very different from Italian or Greek fertility more by design than by accident. So if the "accident" component is going to knock you into Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-56807121777579792632007-12-21T03:35:00.000+00:002007-12-21T03:35:00.000+00:00Looking at the EU and the US (or the US and develo...Looking at the EU and the US (or the US and developed East Asia), the striking thing is that the _lowest_ regional TFR's in the US are well above the average in either of those areas.<BR/><BR/>Vermont, which is the least fertile US state, has a TFR of 1.6 -- well above the EU average and higher than any but a few outlier countries.<BR/><BR/>Conversely, many US states have TFR's around 2.5 -- S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-29593799200700379822007-12-21T03:28:00.000+00:002007-12-21T03:28:00.000+00:00As far as labor supplies go, note that the number ...As far as labor supplies go, note that the number of people turning 18 in the US exceeds 4,000,000 annually and is increasing. <BR/><BR/>Total _births_ are now also at record levels... and increasing.<BR/><BR/>The "increasing" is the crucial word to keep in mind here. The US will be -increasingly- able to maintain rapid labor force growth from its own resources.S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-61320633581080720432007-12-21T03:21:00.000+00:002007-12-21T03:21:00.000+00:00The latest US figures are also interesting in that...The latest US figures are also interesting in that they show a very broad participation in the upward trend in TFR's.<BR/><BR/>It seems to be uniform across all age groups, with older women maintaining their recent gains but younger women, especially in the early to mid-20's, showing increasing fertility as well.<BR/><BR/>There's also broad participation across the educational and income spectrumS.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-87791880834025637272007-12-21T03:03:00.000+00:002007-12-21T03:03:00.000+00:00Note that the US has very little in the way of 'fa...Note that the US has very little in the way of 'family-friendly' government measures, far less than, say, Italy.<BR/><BR/>Yet US fertility has been tending steadily, if slowly, upward since the 1970's. The current TFR is about the same as that of 1971, at the peak of the steep post-baby-boom drop. (It had been around 3.5 as recently as a decade before that.)S.M. Stirlinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18091131550027851275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-60288956019772909512007-12-19T11:47:00.000+00:002007-12-19T11:47:00.000+00:00Hello Colin.As usual some very interesting and per...Hello Colin.<BR/><BR/>As usual some very interesting and perceptive comments. I will just pick up on one or two points.<BR/><BR/>"Even if the economic argument could be used to beat the 'cultural' argument against migration, I'm sceptical that first-world countries have matured enough at a political level to avoid the mistakes made with the guest-worker programmes of the postwar period."<BR/><BR/Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.com