tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post7191274794144270929..comments2024-03-24T20:13:39.387+00:00Comments on demography.matters.blog: Childbearing in EuropeUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-32867536886748406782007-05-30T14:48:00.000+00:002007-05-30T14:48:00.000+00:00Hi to both of you,"Assumably, demographic decline ...Hi to both of you,<BR/><BR/>"Assumably, demographic decline is reversible, because past episodes of demographic decline have been reversed."<BR/><BR/>Hmmm. I'm not at all sure about this. I have a line drawn in the sand - Alamo style - between the pre- and post-industrial revolution processes. Before the IR there were homeostatic mechanisms at work (the so-called carrying-load) which could serve Edward Hughhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10384039867580949531noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-84278786880490835382007-05-30T03:35:00.000+00:002007-05-30T03:35:00.000+00:00Robert, your theory is testable right now in Japan...Robert, your theory is testable right now in Japan. Japan had a relatively short post war baby boom that lasted only until the mid 50's. The largest age cohort in Japan is the 55-60 set that are just starting to retire. The next largest are their children. The 30-34 and 35-39 cohorts are much larger than those that come after them. (And larger even than the ones that came before.) Most Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04510818720994948521noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19949676.post-66937053605943829942007-05-29T15:28:00.000+00:002007-05-29T15:28:00.000+00:00Assumably, demographic decline is reversible, beca...Assumably, demographic decline is reversible, because past episodes of demographic decline have been reversed.<BR/><BR/>I'd like to throw out a hypothesis, as a counter-hypothesis to mechanism 2 in your previous post. If ideational family size is informed by chiefly by the family size that a woman grew up in, then yes, once ideational family size falls below replacement, this mechanism can only Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17036579889841394629noreply@blogger.com